Which Television Stock has the Strongest Earnings Trends After Tivo Earnings?

March 04, 2013

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Earnings trends are extremely important when evaluating stocks. At Wall St. Cheat Sheet, we view increasing earnings quarter-over-quarter as a simple way to gauge whether costs and the business model are stable. Then we like to analyze whether the company is outperforming peers in the sector. This is what we call the “E-Squared” investment analysis (‘E = Earnings Are Increasing Quarter-Over-Quarter’ + ‘E = Excellent Relative Performance Versus Peers and Sector’).

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Here’s your Cheat Sheet to how the top 5 television stocks rank via earnings trends:

TiVo Inc. (NASDAQ:TIVO): Current Price $12.49

Fiscal Year	2009	2010	2011	2012	2013
Revenue ($) in millions	250.19	238.47	219.61	238.18	303.90
Diluted EPS ($)	1.01	-0.22	-0.74	0.80	-0.09

We appreciate that sales have shot up in 2012 and 2013, but are unhappy with the loss per share in 2013.

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Next, our CHEAT SHEET investing framework asks us to drill down to the recent quarterly data:

Quarter	Jan. 31, 2012	Apr. 30, 2012	Jul. 31, 2012	Oct. 31, 2012	Jan. 31, 2013
Revenue ($) in millions	66.47	67.77	65.26	82.03	88.85
Diluted EPS ($)	0.14	-0.17	-0.23	0.44	-0.13

The sharp deterioration in the EPS in the latest quarter ends Tivo’s chances in this analysis…

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