National American Univ. Holdings Fourth Quarter Earnings Sneak Peek

National American Univ. Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:NAUH) will unveil its latest earnings on Wednesday, August 1, 2012. National American University is the provider of post-secondary education primarily focused on the needs of working adults and other non-traditional students. It provides Associate, Bachelor’s, and Master’s degree and diploma programs.

National American Univ. Holdings, Inc. Earnings Preview Cheat Sheet

Wall St. Earnings Expectations: The average analyst estimate is for profit of 3 cents per share, a decline of 66.7% from the company’s actual earnings for the year-ago quarter. During the past three months, the average estimate has moved down from 4 cents. Between one and three months ago, the average estimate moved down. It has been unchanged at 3 cents during the last month. Analysts are projecting profit to rise by 57.9% versus last year to 16 cents.

Past Earnings Performance: Last quarter, the company fell short of estimates by 0 cents, coming in at net income of 2 cents per share against a mean estimate of profit of 7 cents. The company fell in line with expectations in the second quarter.

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A Look Back: In the third quarter, profit fell 86.6% to $519,000 (2 cents a share) from $3.9 million (14 cents a share) the year earlier, missing analyst expectations. Revenue rose 8% to $29.9 million from $27.7 million.

Stock Price Performance: Between May 1, 2012 and July 26, 2012, the stock price fell 90 cents (-17.9%), from $5.02 to $4.12. It saw one of its worst periods between October 11, 2011 and October 20, 2011 when shares fell for eight straight days, dropping 11% (-86 cents) over that span. The stock price saw one of its best stretches over the last year between June 21, 2012 and June 27, 2012, when shares rose for five straight days, increasing 15.5% (+56 cents) over that span.

Wall St. Revenue Expectations: Analysts are projecting a rise of 8.8% in revenue from the year-earlier quarter to $30.5 million.

Key Stats:

On the top line, the company is looking to build on four-straight revenue increases heading into this earnings announcement. Revenue rose 10.1% in the fourth quarter of the last fiscal year, 9.6% in the first quarter and 9.4% in the second quarter before increasing again in the third quarter.

An income boost this time around would be welcome news after profit drops in the past three quarters. Net income fell 23.7% in the first quarter, by 29.2% in the second quarter and again in the third quarter.

Balance Sheet Analysis: The company’s current ratio of assets to liabilities came in at 2.92 last quarter. Having a ratio above 2:1 is usually considered a good indicator of a company’s liquidity and ability to meet creditor demands. The company regressed in this liquidity measure from 3.73 in the second quarter to the last quarter driven in part by an increase in liabilities. Current liabilities increased 19.5% to $16.2 million while assets decreased 6.3% to $47.4 million.

Analyst Ratings: With four analysts rating the stock a buy, none rating it a sell and none rating the stock a hold, there are indications of a bullish stance by analysts.

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(Company fundamentals by Xignite Financials. Earnings estimates provided by Zacks)

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