National American Univ. Holdings First Quarter Earnings Sneak Peek

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National American Univ. Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:NAUH) will unveil its latest earnings on Wednesday, October 3, 2012. National American University is the provider of post-secondary education primarily focused on the needs of working adults and other non-traditional students. It provides Associate, Bachelor’s, and Master’s degree and diploma programs.

National American Univ. Holdings, Inc. Earnings Preview Cheat Sheet

Wall St. Earnings Expectations: The average estimate of analysts is for profit of 2 cents per share, a decline of 50% from the company’s actual earnings for the same quarter a year ago. During the past three months, the average estimate has moved up from breaking even. Between one and three months ago, the average estimate moved up. It has been unchanged at 2 cents during the last month. Analysts are projecting profit to rise by 68.4% versus last year to 32 cents.

Last quarter, the company came in at net income of 5 cents per share against a mean estimate of profit of 3 cents per share, beating estimates after missing them in the previous quarter. In the third quarter of the last fiscal year, it missed forecasts by 5 cents.

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A Look Back: In the fourth quarter of the last fiscal year, profit fell 32.4% to $1.6 million (6 cents a share) from $2.3 million (8 cents a share) the year earlier, but exceeded analyst expectations. Revenue rose 18% to $33.1 million from $28.1 million.

Stock Price Performance: Between August 1, 2012 and September 27, 2012, the stock price had risen $1.14 (29.5%), from $3.86 to $5. The stock price saw one of its best stretches over the last year between August 1, 2012 and August 8, 2012, when shares rose for six straight days, increasing 23.1% (+89 cents) over that span. It saw one of its worst periods between October 11, 2011 and October 20, 2011 when shares fell for eight straight days, dropping 11% (-86 cents) over that span.

Wall St. Revenue Expectations: Analysts are projecting a rise of 14.9% in revenue from the year-earlier quarter to $29.2 million.

Key Stats:

On the top line, the company is looking to build on four-straight revenue increases heading into this earnings announcement. Revenue rose 9.6% in the first quarter of the last fiscal year, 9.4% in the second quarter of the last fiscal year and 8% in the third quarter of the last fiscal year before increasing again in the fourth quarter of the last fiscal year of the last fiscal year.

Heading into this earnings announcement, net income has dropped 43% on average for the last four quarters.

Balance Sheet Analysis: The company’s current ratio of assets to liabilities came in at 2.94 last quarter. Having a ratio above 2:1 is usually considered a good indicator of a company’s liquidity and ability to meet creditor demands.

Analyst Ratings: With four analysts rating the stock a buy, none rating it a sell and none rating the stock a hold, there are indications of a bullish stance by analysts.

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(Company fundamentals by Xignite Financials. Earnings estimates provided by Zacks)

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