The following is an excerpt from a report compiled by Michael Pachter of Wedbush Securities.
Majesco (NASDAQ:COOL) will report Q4:12 (ending October) results after the market close today with a conference call at 1:30pm PT (dial-in: 800-860-2442, webcast: ir.majescoentertainment.com).
We expect Q4 results in line with our revised estimates, which are now below the low end of implied guidance. We expect Q4 revenue of $22 million and EPS of $0.01, below our prior estimates of $27 million and $0.05, consensus of $25 million and $0.04, and implied guidance of $24-34 million and $0.03-0.13. We note that Majesco’s NPD U.S. retail dollar sales tracked down 43% y-o-y in the October quarter, well below the range implied by guidance (down 5% to up 35%), from disappointing debuts for Harley Pasternak’s Hollywood Workout, NBA Baller Beats, and Zumba Fitness Core, among other titles, and sluggish catalog sales resulting from the declining popularity of Nintendo hardware. Our revised revenue estimate reflects only a 12% y-o-y decline, well above sell-through results implied by NPD, due to solid Zumba sell-in.
We expect Majesco to guide to positive revenue and EPS growth in FY:13. Although Q4:12 should prove to be a disappointment, management guides for EPS growth from Zumba re-orders, upcoming releases (American Idol and Phineas and Ferb), digital, mobile, and social growth and recent…