Cisco is up 9.71% while the S&P 500 is down .15%. Year-to-date, Cisco is up 6.95% while the S&P 500 is up 14.43%. Over the past calendar year, Cisco is up 9.37% while the S&P 500 is up 20.94%. When you look at three-year returns, Cisco is down 16.36% while the S&P 500 is up 37.58%.
At $18.83, Cisco is trading close to its 50-day SMA of $18.79. It’s also trading close to its 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA of $18.80 and $18.82, respectively.
E = Earnings And Revenue Have Been Excellent
Who says Cisco isn’t a growth company? Earnings and revenue growth have been impressive over the past five years.
| 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | |
| Revenue ($)in billions |
39.45 |
36.12 |
40.04 |
43.22 |
46.06 |
| Diluted EPS ($) |
1.31 |
1.05 |
1.33 |
1.17 |
1.49 |
Not many companies beat earnings seven quarters in a row. There is also a wide belief that this trend will continue.
| 10/2011 | 1/2012 | 4/2012 | 7/2012 | 10/2012 | |
| Revenue ($)in billions |
11.26 |
11.53 |
11.59 |
11.69 |
11.88 |
| Diluted EPS ($) |
.33 |
.40 |
.40 |
.36 |
.39 |
T = Trends Support the Industry
Supposedly, the next big thing is SDN, which stands for Software Defining Network. That’s why Cisco recently spent $1.2 billion on Meraki. If this deal proves to be a success, then Cisco will have a competitive edge in SDN. That could end up paying huge dividends. Since other companies are getting on board with SDN and positioning themselves for the future, Cisco didn’t really have a choice. If Cisco happens to be wrong, it’s still an affordable mistake. Cisco doesn’t have a good acquisition history, but this deal has potential.
Conclusion
We live in a world that relies on networking, and Cisco is the king of networking. That alone is an enormous selling point. Other positives include a 3% yield, a trailing P/E of 12.15, a forward P/E of 9.01, expected revenue growth of 6% in 2013, and 7% revenue growth in 2014.
Don’t let recent subpar performance scare you away. Cisco is an excellent long-term investment. It’s an OUTPERFORM for those with patience.
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