Housing Market Resumes This Damaging Downtrend
After managing to post a modest increase last week, mortgage applications in the United States resumed their downtrend and reached the worst level in years.
According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s latest report, for the week ended September 6, loan applications dropped 13.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier — the 15th decline in only 18 weeks. The figure includes both refinancing and home purchase demand, and covers more than 75 percent of all domestic retail residential mortgage applications.
The industry group’s refinance index plunged 20 percent while the seasonally adjusted purchase index fell by 3 percent. Overall, the refinance share of mortgage activity accounted for 57 percent of total applications, down 4 percent from a week earlier and its lowest level since April 2010. In fact, the refinance index crashed 71 percent from its peak during the week of May 3 to hit its lowest level since June 2009.
The average interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increased from 4.73 percent to 4.8 percent — its highest rate since April 2011. The most recent average rate for a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage came in at 3.83 percent, compared to 3.75 percent the week before.
Between the beginning of May and the end of June, the average interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage surged from 3.59 percent to 4.68 percent. Although interest rates are still low on a historical basis, the rapid pace of the rise has been a worry for the real estate market.
In the second quarter, 69.3 percent of new and existing homes sold were affordable to families earning the U.S. median income of $64,400, according to the National Association of Home Builders. That is down from 73.7 percent in the first quarter and is the first reading below 70 percent since late 2008.
Here’s how the main U.S. indexes traded on Wednesday:
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