March Madness: 5 Teams That Can Help You Win Buffett’s $1B

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You might have heard about Warren Buffett’s billion-dollar offer. The one that made you sit up a little bit straighter while you were watching Sportscenter at the gym. The one that made you reappraise your usual March Madness strategy of “the school with the coolest mascot wins” or “I’m an alum, I have to make my school go all the way.”

In case you missed it, Buffett’s prize offer is for a perfect March Madness bracket. Perfect meaning no mistakes, starting with the first round all the way to the Final Four. The odds, according to DePaul math professor Jeff Bergen, hover somewhere around 1:9.2 quintillion. Or, as they say, a nine with 18 digits after it. (Like this: 9,200,000,000,000,000,000.) In Bergen’s words, if you’re just guessing, you essentially have no chance at all. The odds if you know basketball, though, are much better:

They’re still not great odds, mind you, but channel your inner Han Solo and remember that you didn’t ask for the odds anyway — you’re looking for some teams that are poised to win when they shouldn’t and others that are going to be prone to upsets. Besides, who needs math when we’ve got luck and infallible hoops knowledge? Past performance is no indication of prior success, but expert knowledge is forever.

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