AAII Sentiment Survey: Optimism Rebounds But Remains Below Average

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Optimism among individual investors rebounded strongly but still remains below average in the latest AAII Sentiment Survey. Neutral sentiment rose back above 39 percent, while pessimism fell below back below its historical average.

Bullish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, rebounded by 7.3 percentage points to 34.5 percent. This is the largest weekly change and the biggest increase in optimism since a 12.3 percentage point jump on February 13. Nonetheless, optimism is below its historical average of 39 percent for the sixth consecutive week.

Neutral sentiment, expectations that stock prices will stay essentially unchanged over the next six months, rose 0.9 percentage points to 39.5 percent. This is a four-week high. It also the 16th consecutive week that neutral sentiment is above its historical average of 30.5 percent.

Bearish sentiment, expectations that stock prices will fall over the next six months, plunged 8.2 percentage points to 26 percent. This puts pessimism below its historical average of 30.5 percent for the first time in three weeks.

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